SOCCERPUNTER MATCH ANALYSIS
Friday, 30 October 2026
Al-Karma
VS
Duhok
Iraq · Iraqi League
KICKOFF
MATCH ANALYSIS
Read the full match analysis
EXPECTED FORMATIONS
Formation data unavailable. The pitch is illustrative; no player positions or starting lineup are shown.
AL-KARMADUHOK15:00 Central European Time (CET)
FEATURED SQUAD PLAYERS
Bouly Sambou · Duhok · Forward
Peter Gwargis · Duhok · Forward
Listed squad players; starting appearances are not confirmed.
Dated match analysis for 2026-10-30. Historical match samples retained from the earlier review; fixture, odds and seasonal formations checked separately. Not a live update.
01 Match and selection
Al-Karma face Duhok in the Iraqi League on 30 October 2026, with kickoff scheduled for 15:00 Central European Time (CET). The selection is Al-Karma to win, a home-win pick in the 1X2 market. The price displayed on the card is a recorded snapshot, not a live offer.
02 Ten-match comparison
Al-Karma’s ten-match record shows 7 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, with 17 goals scored and 8 conceded. That produces 2.30 points per game on a three-points-for-a-win basis, with averages of 1.70 scored and 0.80 conceded per match. Duhok’s ten-match record shows 3 wins, 5 draws and 2 defeats, with 18 goals scored and 14 conceded. That produces 1.40 points per game on a three-points-for-a-win basis, with averages of 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match. These are retained historical samples reviewed on 29 October, not a claim that every latest result is included.
03 Home and away evidence
Al-Karma’s five-match home record shows 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats, with 11 goals scored and 3 conceded. That produces 3.00 points per game on a three-points-for-a-win basis, with averages of 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded per match. Duhok’s five-match away record shows 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 defeats, with 4 goals scored and 7 conceded. That produces 0.60 points per game on a three-points-for-a-win basis, with averages of 0.80 scored and 1.40 conceded per match.
04 Why the venue split matters
The contrast between Al-Karma’s five retained home wins and Duhok’s five away matches without a victory is stronger than the difference in total goals across all ten matches. Duhok actually scored one more goal overall in that historical sample, so they should not be described as an attack without quality. Their four away goals show that those goals were not distributed evenly between venues. This is a reason to examine the location-specific evidence rather than relying only on aggregate scoring.
05 A verified squad reference
Duhok’s official club squad lists Bouly Sambou among its forwards and Peter Gwargis in the same attacking group. They provide recognisable squad reference points, but the list does not establish who starts, who is fit, or who will score in this match. No current Al-Karma player is named without equivalent verification. The expected-shape graphic should be read as a schematic unless a reliable match-specific lineup becomes available.
06 The contest behind the home preference
Al-Karma’s retained home sample combines eleven goals scored with three conceded. Duhok’s away record includes three draws, however, indicating that a lack of away victories does not mean they regularly lose. The hosts need to create sufficiently clear chances without allowing an attacking turnover to become a free run at their defence. If Duhok keep the central spaces compact, patience and supporting movement could matter more than the raw number of forward passes.
07 Game scenarios and the main caution
A home breakthrough could force Duhok to take greater risks and make the hosts’ stronger venue record more influential. If the visitors score first or keep the game level deep into the second half, the selection becomes harder to justify through match position alone. A draw would defeat the home-win pick even if Al-Karma control much of the play. The preference follows their superior retained win rate and home results; it is not a guarantee, a live price assessment or a claim that historical statistics determine the outcome.
08 Risk and evidence limits
Duhok drew five of ten overall and three of five away. That is an important counterweight to their lack of away victories: avoiding defeat is different from winning. For a home-win selection, another draw would be enough to overturn the proposed outcome. The samples contain completed matches collected within a one-year lookback, with the query ending the day before this fixture. They are not necessarily league-only records. These aggregate caches do not identify the order of results or establish current lineups, and overlapping venue and overall samples are not independent evidence. The selection is a statistical preference, not a guaranteed outcome. The query cutoff does not prove that the cached history was complete through that day.
1Home winDECIMAL ODDS
1.60
Odds recorded 30 Oct, 00:38 CET. Subject to change.
18+ · Betting involves risk. No guaranteed outcome.
18+ · Betting involves risk.